BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 65 Overall: (6-7) Overall Strength = 144.17
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (5-7)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2024 Away W * 161.87 19 17 1A 24 ( 8- 5) Minnesota 17.69 4.61 -15.69
2 09/07/2024 Home W * 144.05 38 20 1A 117 ( 5- 7) UNC-Charlotte -0.12 25.66 18.12
3 09/14/2024 Home W 154.09 45 10 1B 29 ( 8- 3) North Carolina Centr 9.92 30.02 25.08
4 09/21/2024 Home L * 122.12 50 70 1A 54 ( 9- 4) James Madison -22.06 6.07 2.06
5 09/28/2024 Away L * * 147.02 20 21 1A 62 ( 9- 4) Duke 2.85 -0.25 -3.85
6 10/05/2024 Home L * * 135.13 24 34 1A 57 ( 7- 6) Pittsburgh -9.04 -1.41 -0.96
7 10/12/2024 Home L * * 140.90 34 41 1A 43 ( 7- 6) Georgia Tech -3.27 -1.86 -3.73
8 10/26/2024 Away W * * 171.87 41 14 1A 71 ( 5- 7) Virginia 27.70 -4.73 -0.70
9 11/02/2024 Away W * * 163.06 35 11 1A 87 ( 2-10) Florida St 18.89 5.29 5.11
10 11/16/2024 Home W * * 140.96 31 24 1A 89 ( 4- 8) Wake Forest -3.21 14.56 10.21
11 11/23/2024 Away L * * 131.65 21 41 1A 55 ( 7- 6) Boston College -12.53 0.95 -7.47
12 11/30/2024 Home L * * 133.44 30 35 1A 75 ( 6- 7) North Carolina St -10.73 8.28 5.73
13 12/28/2024 Neutral L * 128.08 14 27 1A 80 ( 9- 4) Connecticut -16.09 8.04 3.09
Averages 144.17 30.9 28.1
Best game: 171.87 = 27 point win over Virginia
Worst game: 122.12 = 20 point loss to James Madison
Team stdev: 14.90